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Home / Knowledge Center / Market Watch: The Fed raised rates. What it means for your safe money

Retirement · Market Watch · 7 min read

Market Watch: The Fed raised rates. What it means for your safe money

Rates on fixed annuities are near 15-year highs while inflation runs at 3.7%. How to think about locking in before the Fed meets.

Short answer: the Federal Reserve raised its benchmark rate in September 2026 and meets again on October 27–28. Higher rates generally mean insurers can offer better guaranteed rates on fixed annuities and more room on indexed products. Nobody can predict the Fed, so the better question is not "what will rates do?" but "how much of my safe money should be earning a locked rate right now, and for how long?"

Why this week matters

The Fed's policy committee meets Tuesday and Wednesday, October 27–28, with its decision due at 2:00 p.m. Eastern on the 28th. Headlines will focus on whether rates go up again. For savers and retirees, the more useful story is what has already happened: rates on safe-money products have climbed, and many people still have cash sitting in accounts that pay far less.

It is also year-end. CDs mature, people review retirement accounts before December 31, and many retirees take required withdrawals. That makes this a natural moment to check whether your safe money is working as hard as it could.

What changed in 2026

On September 16, the Fed raised its target range by a quarter point to 3.75%–4.00%, from 3.50%–3.75%. Its statement said inflation "remains elevated." Fed officials' projections, as summarized by Advisor Perspectives, put the rate at 4.1%–4.4% by the end of 2026, up from their earlier estimate.

IndicatorLatest figure
Fed funds target range3.75%–4.00% (raised Sept. 16, 2026)
Inflation (CPI, 12 months to Sept. 2026)3.7% overall; 2.6% excluding food and energy
National average 5-year CD1.41% (Oct. 2026)
Top 5-year MYGA, insurer rated A- or better6.30% (advertised Oct. 25, 2026)

Inflation matters here. At 3.7%, money earning 1% or 2% is losing buying power each year, even though the balance looks safe.

What higher rates mean for annuities

Insurers invest annuity premiums largely in bonds. When interest rates rise, they can generally afford to pay more. That shows up in three places:

  • Multi-year guaranteed annuities (MYGAs) lock a fixed rate for a set term of years. One rate survey describes fixed annuity rates as near 15-year highs this month.
  • Fixed indexed annuities (FIAs) credit interest tied to a market index with a 0% floor. Higher rates can give insurers more room for caps and participation rates. The floor protects you from index losses, but you will not get the full upside of the market.
  • Income annuities turn a lump sum into a paycheck for life. LIMRA reported a record $4.1 billion in single premium immediate annuity sales in the second quarter of 2026 and said rising rates make income annuities more attractive.

Americans have noticed. LIMRA counted $121.2 billion in total annuity sales in the second quarter, and its head of research pointed to global tensions, record stock market performance and rising rates as drivers of demand.

MYGA vs. bank CD

Bank CDMYGA (fixed annuity)
RateFixed for the termFixed for the term
Backed byFDIC insurance, up to limitsThe issuing insurer's claims-paying ability, plus state guaranty associations up to limits
Taxes on interestTaxed each yearTax-deferred until withdrawn
Early accessEarly withdrawal penaltySurrender charges; many allow some penalty-free withdrawals each year
Withdrawals before 59½No IRS penaltyEarnings may face a 10% IRS penalty

The best CDs pay well above the national average, so compare real quotes, not averages. A CD can be the right home for money you may need soon. A MYGA tends to fit money you will not touch for the full term.

Agent tip: Do not try to time the Fed with all your money. Many clients "ladder" instead: split savings across, say, a 3-year and a 5-year guarantee. If rates rise, the shorter one renews sooner. If rates fall, the longer one keeps today's rate.

Before you lock in a rate

  1. Check the insurer, not just the rate. The highest advertised rates sometimes come from insurers with lower AM Best ratings. A small rate gain is not worth extra risk to your safe money.
  2. Read the surrender schedule. Know exactly what it costs to leave early and how much you can withdraw each year without a charge.
  3. Ask about renewal. When the term ends, what happens? Rates on renewal can be lower, and contracts set different minimum guaranteed rates.
  4. Keep your emergency fund separate. Annuities are for long-term money. See our emergency fund guide first.
  5. Mind the IRS age rules. Withdrawals of earnings before 59½ may face a 10% penalty on top of income tax.

RMDs, IRAs and taxes

Year-end brings a hard deadline for many retirees. Once you reach 73, the IRS generally requires minimum withdrawals from traditional IRAs and workplace plans each year, due by December 31 after your first year. Missing one can mean a 25% excise tax on the shortfall, reduced to 10% if corrected within two years.

TrueFin Services does not sell IRAs, CDs, stocks or other securities, and does not give tax advice. For RMD calculations, Roth conversions or investment decisions, talk to a tax professional or financial advisor. What we can do is show how a fixed, fixed indexed or income annuity, including one held inside an IRA, fits your plan. If you hold an annuity in an IRA, ask whether the contract waives surrender charges for RMD withdrawals.

What to look out for this season

  • Watch the Fed's October 28 decision, but do not make all-or-nothing moves around one meeting.
  • List any CDs or annuities maturing in the next 90 days and what they will renew at.
  • Compare what your savings earn to inflation, which was 3.7% over the latest 12 months.
  • If you are 73 or older, confirm your RMD will be taken by December 31.
  • Check AM Best ratings for any insurer you are considering.
  • Read the surrender schedule and free-withdrawal terms before you sign.
  • Keep your emergency fund in cash or savings before locking money away.

Sources

Questions

Should I wait for the Fed meeting before buying a fixed annuity?

No one can predict the Fed reliably. Rather than waiting on one meeting, many people split safe money across different guarantee lengths so part of it can renew sooner if rates keep rising, while the rest keeps today's rate if they fall.

Is a MYGA better than a CD?

They do similar jobs differently. A CD is FDIC insured up to limits and its interest is taxed each year. A MYGA is backed by the issuing insurer and state guaranty associations up to limits, and its interest grows tax-deferred, but it has surrender charges and IRS age rules. Compare actual quotes for the term you need.

Do rising interest rates help fixed indexed annuities?

Generally, higher rates give insurers more room to offer better caps and participation rates. Your money still has a 0% floor against index losses, but credited interest is limited by the contract terms, so you will not receive the full market return.

Can an annuity in my IRA be used for required minimum distributions?

Annuities held inside an IRA are still subject to RMD rules. Ask whether the contract waives surrender charges for RMD withdrawals, and work with a tax professional on the amount you must take.

Sources and further reading

Rates change. Your plan should not depend on guessing.

A free 10-minute call with Nag compares fixed and indexed annuity options side by side for your timeline. Straight answers, no obligation. Call 585-305-2330.

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